The 2.5% Signal: Decoding Oil War Narratives on Prediction Markets
Hook A single data point from Polymarket: the probability of WTI crude reachi...
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Hook A single data point from Polymarket: the probability of WTI crude reachi...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Block reward halving event
Team and early investor shares released
92 million ARB released
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,498.2 |
| 1 |
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$1,879.91 |
| 1 |
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SOL
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$74.71 |
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BNB
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$569.9 |
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XRP Ledger
XRP
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$1.1 |
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Dogecoin
DOGE
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$0.0717 |
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Cardano
ADA
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$0.1653 |
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$6.78 |
| 1 |
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DOT
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$0.8172 |
| 1 |
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$8.4 |